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[ Events ] Lucky stars Wheel drop rates

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  • Registered: 2019-12-22
  • Topics: 2
  • Posts: 0
On 2019-12-27 06:16:35Show this Author OnlyDescending Order
1# Go To

Is the lucky stars wheel random

I've spun 20 times so far, but I don't know if it's worth it to go on. I thought there would be a decent chance of getting ronin naruto or obito frags but haven't gotten a single one yet

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 7
  • Posts: 53
On 2019-12-27 06:34:20Show this Author Only
2#

It is a rng based event so hopefully you feel lucky. The drop rate for the ninja fragment (naruto ronin this time) has been lowered considerably. I pulled when kakuzu was the ninja fragment being offered and got him once about every 10 pulls. I have seen people pull thousands of coupons worth and not get naruto ronin even once.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 20
  • Posts: 252
On 2019-12-27 07:52:58Show this Author Only
3#

Don't bother spinning for the jackpot or even the naruto frags. The rates are horrible by design and until they let us know the exact drop rates (you should consider why they REFUSE to release the drop rates even though China already passed the law that forces them to). The wheel isn't bad if you need something in the redeems and you get potions along the way.


As for the jackpot prize, just go with this rule of thumb: All jackpot prizes are 1% drop rate or less.


Not saying this is the case as we don't know, but its an extremely low chance. Go with this mentality and you will never have the mentality of trying to "win it big" Also don't fall for the, "If you spend 20,000 coupons on it, you have a better chance. No you don't, that isn't how odds work. Every time you spin, you have that LOW LOW LOW PERCENT CHANCE. It the odds don't increase because you do more spins. if you have a 1 in 10000 chance, you can spin 10000 times and still not get it. This isn't a slot machine with payout odds, its just a flash game wheel.




This post was last edited by Shyuko on 2019-12-27 07:59:58.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 53
  • Posts: 689
On 2019-12-27 08:37:44Show this Author Only
4#

There is a reason drop chances aren't publicly known. If people knew the drop rates for some of these RNG events they wouldn't spend on them. You would think people wouldn't spend period without knowing the drop chance, but I guess not. If I had to guess it's below 0.01% chance. Could be higher, but no one outside the mod/dev team knows. I'm still curious as to how many can times people can get his frags in a day. Never seen more than one person hit the jackpot in a day in lucky wheel. I would never recommend spending ingots/coupons on these type of events unless you are going for one of the redemption items/fuku deals.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 20
  • Posts: 252
On 2019-12-27 17:47:26Show this Author Only
5#
  • Koncept On 2019-12-27 08:37:44
  • There is a reason drop chances aren't publicly known. If people knew the drop rates for some of these RNG events they wouldn't spend on them. You would think people wouldn't spend period without knowing the drop chance, but I guess not. If I had to guess it's below 0.01% chance. Could be higher, but no one outside the mod/dev team knows. I'm still curious as to how many can times people can get his frags in a day. Never seen more than one person hit the jackpot in a day in lucky wheel. I would never recommend spending ingots/coupons on these type of events unless you are going for one of the redemption items/fuku deals.

On my server (3, 5, 9 cluster) not a single person has gotten him, and its not for lack of trying. I've even witnessed people logging in their alts and throwing all coupons at it. The result?


Naruto frags: 3 TOTAL

Obito: 0


Yeah, this wheel "rng" is horrid

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 210
  • Posts: 1108
On 2019-12-27 18:15:55Show this Author Only
6#

Think about it like the mission dealer event box. Think of all the players on your server getting ~70 boxes to open over the week. 20-50 people on your server. So, that is 1400-3500 boxes opened every week that event happens. Each box costs 20 coupons if I remember right. So, the value of opening all those boxes is 28k-70k coupons each week. Now ask yourself, how often do you see an announcement of someone getting Hashirama x80. The chances of getting Obito are probably lower than that.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 24
  • Posts: 361
On 2019-12-27 18:41:03Show this Author Only
7#
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  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 17
  • Posts: 267
On 2019-12-27 22:43:29Show this Author Only
8#
  • Mielekki On 2019-12-27 06:34:20
  • It is a rng based event so hopefully you feel lucky. The drop rate for the ninja fragment (naruto ronin this time) has been lowered considerably. I pulled when kakuzu was the ninja fragment being offered and got him once about every 10 pulls. I have seen people pull thousands of coupons worth and not get naruto ronin even once.

Note: Sorry,the post does not exist or has been deleted
  • Registered: 2018-07-02
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  • Posts: 6
On 2019-12-28 06:16:32Show this Author Only
9#
Note: Sorry,the post does not exist or has been deleted
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 1
  • Posts: 136
On 2019-12-28 06:27:30Show this Author Only
10#
  • Picklejuicy On 2019-12-27 18:15:55
  • Think about it like the mission dealer event box. Think of all the players on your server getting ~70 boxes to open over the week. 20-50 people on your server. So, that is 1400-3500 boxes opened every week that event happens. Each box costs 20 coupons if I remember right. So, the value of opening all those boxes is 28k-70k coupons each week. Now ask yourself, how often do you see an announcement of someone getting Hashirama x80. The chances of getting Obito are probably lower than that.

yeah you are right about all that low drop rate

But just a correction getting 80x hashi or hiru does not gives any announcement, level 4 magatma gives announcement but frags does not, don't know why but it is what it is.

But this does not mean that players get their frags very often, what i noticed (from players telling in group chat), its like 1 players every 2 or 3 months.

Also i did not saw anyone in my servers getting obito, neither weak nor strong




This post was last edited by MinatoYellowFla on 2019-12-28 06:29:24.
  • Registered: 2017-09-21
  • Topics: 0
  • Posts: 24
On 2019-12-29 20:10:16Show this Author Only
11#

We have had two people on my server win obito. both where around the 200K mark. our top whales are sitting at 350k to 400k.

  • Registered: 2017-12-06
  • Topics: 0
  • Posts: 3
On 2019-12-29 21:09:32Show this Author Only
12#

I have spend today all 100 pull and did not get obito at all.and my acc is f2p so i take a few months to get that much coupons.

  • Registered: 2018-02-14
  • Topics: 140
  • Posts: 916
On 2019-12-29 22:31:00Show this Author Only
13#

i think i know of 2 person got obito ten tails on our mega merged server. one of them is Qv !! XD

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 10
  • Posts: 115
On 2019-12-29 23:27:00Show this Author Only
14#

Assume a drop rate of 0% for jackpot. It's true when you're dealing with any reasonable significant number.

  • Registered: 2018-11-29
  • Topics: 8
  • Posts: 893
On 2020-01-01 21:47:41Show this Author Only
15#

dont forget the people that are put there to enthuse spending (for example in one server a guy with 14k power and obito...

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