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[ PVP ] 3v3 Mission Boxes

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  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 57
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On 2018-11-06 05:32:02Show All Posts
3#

Remember, there is a huge roster of of ninjas in those boxes.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 57
  • Posts: 2534
On 2018-11-06 10:36:57Show All Posts
7#
  • Beavis On 2018-11-06 05:43:15
  • Exactly why I brought it here to get more input. Up to 7 characters on my server that have gotten zero between today and yesterday. Again it is a stretch to just chalk that up to bad luck....9 boxes X 7 characters = 63 boxes X 2 days = 126 boxes and not a single edo jinchuriki or anbu yamato/itachi draw. When again, the 3 days prior we were all getting at least 1 draw out of 9 boxes....

FYI, since the event came out across 2 characters, I have received anbu and edo jin.

Only today I haven't gotten either.

So what you're thinking is irrelevant.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-11-07 10:15:18Show All Posts
24#

So today, I managed to get Anbu Yamato on my 2nd character as frags.

I still chalk it up to a lot of ninjas in the packs.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-11-07 20:59:36Show All Posts
28#
  • Scarlettblue On 2018-11-07 20:49:43
  • This doesn't mean is not there a cap. If you got 2 frags per day you are still under the quantity some of us gained the first 2 days.

If you can't prove that there is a cap, you shouldn't spread it as possible information.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-11-09 22:35:59Show All Posts
35#
  • SomeoneRandom On 2018-11-09 19:33:12
  • Third day in a row and not a single anbu or edo jinchuriki fragment.

    Whoever says the drop rate isn't lowered is delusional.

    And of course, no mod is going to tell us what's going on.

I've gotten some Edo Jin and Anbu ninjas for a couple days now. You're just having bad luck.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-11-10 11:42:40Show All Posts
39#
  • Garv On 2018-11-10 10:29:16
  • he said that he guesses may be there a cap... If you put together his previous reply and his following reply they make perfectly sense.

    that said...

    Almost every feature in this game has hidden counters and hidden caps, that this one may follow the same logic would not be that weird.

    Theoretically, i just want to remind you, the official statement of oasis about a treasure like GNW treasure is that there is no hidden counter and no threshold for rares, just a chance per roll to get them.

    Do you believe it?

If you read my reply, I said POSSIBLY incorrect information.

Not sure why you bothered to post when you clearly don't read the context of my post.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 57
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On 2018-11-10 22:15:41Show All Posts
44#
  • SomeoneRandom On 2018-11-10 21:19:52
  • Maybe you are just lucky? The ninjas are still in the packs, but the drop rate is certainly lowered.


    There are 18 types of ninja frags in those boxes, six of them are edo/anbu/fuguki. That means 3 out of the daily 9 boxes should drop one of these frags, which was the case the first 3 days. Now it is not.

So for example sake, let's say each of the ninjas listed have the same % drop rate

That would mean, each would have a .05% (repeating of course) to drop (Not claiming this is the guaranteed drop rate)

it wouldn't be 3 of the 9 daily boxes.

Each box has a 1 in 18 chance of dropping a fragment, for each one, this isn't *ulative.


So every box you'd have a .05% in getting any specific ninja fragment.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 57
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On 2018-11-11 04:22:59Show All Posts
47#
  • SomeoneRandom On 2018-11-10 22:58:27
  • 0.05%? Don't you mean 5%?

    Ok, 5% chance to get a certain ninja, which means 30% chance to get edo/anbu/fuguki frags from each box. This would explain why somebody isn't getting good frags for 2-3 days because of RNG. But when you have multiple people experiencing the same lack of good frags over several days then the issue here is not only RNG.


I forgot to move the decimal. So great catch there, I always forget something in math.

But it wouldn't be 5%. It would be 5.5%

Again you it wouldn't be 30% to get the edo anbu fuguki frags from each box, it would still be 5.5% for 1 specific ninja for each box. Again assuming they all have the same % drop rate.

This is of course, until we get information about drop rates.




This post was last edited by RenjiAsuka on 2018-11-11 04:24:49.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-11-11 10:33:09Show All Posts
49#
  • Beavis On 2018-11-11 09:17:19
  • So just to reiterate, the first 3 days on my server 7 characters obtained on average 18 anbu/edo frags (more if you count fuguki)....In the last 7 days most of the same 7 characters obtained 2 frags (even counting fuguki) two guys got 4, one got 6, and one got zero.... You are trying to tell me that is just luck? really?

    The consistency on both ends of the spectrum is just too much to chalk it up to luck. It went from 4-8 per day to 4 per week and that is being nice, really its 2.85 average on my server (seeing as you get 2 at a time it would round down, not up).... That points to lowered rates, and quite a bit lower at that. Also want to point out that this started the first 3v3 after daylight savings was implemented. Just saying.

    By this math 7 characters got almost as much in the same 3 day period as they will get in 2 months... As this event is 21 days; 4 per 7 days X 3 to equal 12 per 21 days....which would be 24 frags in 2 months. Though I'm sure some weeks will be luckier than 4 frags, some will also be zero.

    I will continue to gather data, but what I've gathered isn't in favor of "luck" so far....

It's barely been 2 weeks maybe not even 2 weeks.

I'd wait for a month at least before drawing any real conclusion. So I'd recommend saving a month's worth of boxes, open them 1 by 1 and write down what you got and how many, from there we can actually get some real hard data.

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