Reply
Views: 4239 | Replies: 12
[ Events ] Lucky board in detail 30-11-2017

 [

Copy Link

]

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 4
  • Posts: 349
On 2017-12-01 05:19:19Show this Author OnlyDescending Order
1# Go To

I went for anbu clothing in lucky board( I previously had some frags). I collected the data I got if it helps anybody in deciding what to go. This is a rough *ysis.

number of dices points
10 75
10 55
10 65
10 60
10 65
10 60
10 60
10 70
10 70
10 60
10 100
10 60
10 75
10 65
5 25

So basically i spent 2900 coupons and got 145 dices which yielded 965 points. So 1 dice roughly gives 6.6 points and since there was a very rare case of 100 points in 10 rolls, I am taking 6.5 to be the rough average per dice. 25 points for 1 frags, so for 50 frags you will need 1250 points. 1250 points would need approximate 192 dice. Over the week you can collect 14 free dices and you would need 178 dices and 3560 to entirely synthesize anbu clothing from lucky board.

These values are not considering the value of the items obtained from the board. I didnt keep track of drops for the first few dices. I obtained following things for 120 dices.

no of drops value Total value
kirin 9
coupons * 5 10 5 50
seal fragment x2 9 25 225
summon scroll 5 63 315
seal scroll 5 125 625
lvl 3 magatama pack 8 0
medium refines 4 25 100
summon fragx5 7 31.5 220.5
protection runes 6 19 114
thread (medium) 3 38 114
charm fragx2 5 25 125
stamina potion 7 0
lvl 2 magatama 7 0
unbound packets x 2 5 0
purification 4 13 52
mood scroll 4 15 60
level 3 rune pack 4 0
summon contractx2 3 0
cave key 4 13 52
2052.5

I havent accounted for the starting point, free roll, reverse direction etc. So there might be a mismatch between total items obtained and number of dices. But overall for the 2400 coupons I get more than 2000 coupons value item. I havent put value for some things, because I dont know the market price of these items. If any of you know it I can add it. The values I have put are maximum prices, and most of these things are available at much more discounted prices.

Now for 2900 coupon( here its 2900 because its overall case, and in earlier case i hadn't kept account for drops of 500 coupons worth of dice) I got total of 25 lucky ninja packs.


Lucky ninja pack 25 for 2900 coupons
item number value total value
cave key 6 13 78
purification rune 2 13 26
life magatama lvl 4 2 135 270
defense magatama lvl 4 1 108 108
level 3 magatama pack 5 0
ninjutsu magatama lvl 4 3 135 405
advanced cloth 3 63 189
medium thread 1 38 38
ninjutsu magatama lvl 5 1 250 (rough) 250
resistance magatama 4 108 432
1796

Around 1796 coupons worth of things from lucky ninja packs corresponding to 2900 coupon spending in this event. Here again its a rough value and I haven't added values for some items as i am unsure. So take it with a pinch of salt.

Overall as said by many people over time, this remains one of the best events of the game. If you want to find out value of anything in this board use average value of 6.5 per dice. Counting the board drops and packs this seems a great event. Does this make sense? If it does it might help you to make decisions for this weeks lucky board.

  • Registered: 2017-08-24
  • Topics: 1
  • Posts: 12
On 2017-12-01 06:35:24Show this Author Only
2#

YOU ARE A LEGEND thanks for putting time into this


  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 0
  • Posts: 29
On 2017-12-01 07:20:09Show this Author Only
3#

Assuming it's a fair board, which as far as I can tell it is, then about 6.6 is the theoretical average as well. You get this by adding up the points each square gives then dividing by 22, to account for the two free roll spots. Though that doesn't take into account moving from the doubling square only being able to go to certain spots or how the doubling square and the reverse direction square combined with the starting square mean that some spots are more likely to be landed on than others for a given number of dice.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 4
  • Posts: 349
On 2017-12-01 13:31:45Show this Author Only
4#
  • Gmaddux On 2017-12-01 07:20:09
  • Assuming it's a fair board, which as far as I can tell it is, then about 6.6 is the theoretical average as well. You get this by adding up the points each square gives then dividing by 22, to account for the two free roll spots. Though that doesn't take into account moving from the doubling square only being able to go to certain spots or how the doubling square and the reverse direction square combined with the starting square mean that some spots are more likely to be landed on than others for a given number of dice.

There are 19 proper redeemable items in the board which gives 5 points which would be a total of 95 points. There are 5 functional grids including the starting point which gives 10 points which give 50 points. That's total of 145 points. 145/ (19+5)= 6.04 points per roll if its not a biased board. But we are getting roughly 6.5 average, so is it a biased board? However it be, it still gives great value for the coupons spent even if you leave out some things which might be redundant for a particular person.Bias in the board might be introduced by the functional grids.





This post was last edited by Rick_Sanchez on 2017-12-01 16:00:13.
  • Registered: 2017-11-23
  • Topics: 80
  • Posts: 171
On 2017-12-01 14:03:15Show this Author Only
5#

I rolled 220 dices yesterday and i got 10 kirin frags , 12 seal scrolls , 18-20 summoning scrolls , 20 seal frags , 39 summoning frags , around 30 charms material pack frags , a lot of lvl 2 and lvl 3 magatama packs , 7 lvl 3 runes packs , 10 stamina potions , 40 lucky ninja packs from which i got a lot of lvl 5 and lvl 4 magatama and 30 cave keys the other stuff that I got I don't remember. From 220 dices i got around 1400 points with which i redeemed all optional refines packs and some charms material packs. I got 2k+ battle power increase and i used all my refines and charms for the rebates. I'm satisfied with this months' lucky board and I will probably spin around 100 more dices till the end of the event.





This post was last edited by SlivenKage on 2017-12-01 14:07:15.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 42
  • Posts: 692
On 2017-12-01 14:17:47Show this Author Only
6#

Probably small sample size, and not board bias. I got 915 pts from doing 154 rolls. Not a single roll 10 has been above 65 points.

Also, how did you count free rolls? I only bought 138 dice (plus the 2 free daily for 140), got 14 extra rolls for free.





This post was last edited by IamAscrub on 2017-12-01 14:20:12.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 8
  • Posts: 125
On 2017-12-01 14:20:03Show this Author Only
7#

Hidan fragments worth getting?

  • Registered: 2017-11-23
  • Topics: 80
  • Posts: 171
On 2017-12-01 15:22:20Show this Author Only
8#

So if we take the average 6.5 pts per spin that's 3.07 coups for a point.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 4
  • Posts: 349
On 2017-12-01 16:04:28Show this Author Only
9#
  • SlivenKage On 2017-12-01 15:22:20
  • So if we take the average 6.5 pts per spin that's 3.07 coups for a point.

Yep 3.07 coupons per point.

The board might be biased due to functional grids. But that doesnt matter since it makes the board better overall considering all the board items and ninja packs.

Hidan frags are 60 points. That would be 60/6.5 = 9.23 dices which is 9.23*20=184 coupons per frag.. I dont know his normal price. So I can't make a judgement as to how good this price is.





This post was last edited by Rick_Sanchez on 2017-12-01 16:06:13.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 2
  • Posts: 25
On 2017-12-01 16:10:35Show this Author Only
10#

Anyone got hashirama or tobirama yet?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 4
  • Posts: 349
On 2017-12-01 16:49:47Show this Author Only
11#

Wish i got that..it would make the overall benefits way better...even if you dont get them also its worth a try.

  • Registered: 2017-11-04
  • Topics: 6
  • Posts: 66
On 2017-12-01 21:21:06Show this Author Only
12#

Well i purchased 3600 cupon (180 dice) and got enough to exchange 42 ambu outfit frags and 9 sailor sakura (i already had 8 frags from past events) and i also didnt get tobirama but i got alot of magatama and stuff, and the juicy seal scrolls got like 20 and 9 kirin frags!.


Reply
Quicky Post
Reply

Log in in order to Post. | Register